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Daily Vault Briefing

Jun 27, 2026

The petroleum board is draining hard while copper stocks pull in two directions, and the SPR sits at a level it last held in 1983.

The brief

SPR crude is the loudest card on the board: 331.2 MM bbl, the lowest since June 1983, down 2.7% on the week and 11.5% over 30 days. That is a 44-year low in the level, and the velocity hasn't let up.

Cushing rhymes with it, down 5.4% on the week and 26.6% over 30 days to its lowest since October 2014, while commercial crude sits at the 75th percentile but is sliding 7.4% over the month. Across the petroleum cards the same pattern holds: stocks bleeding faster than the headline levels alone would suggest.

Copper splits the difference. COMEX stocks ticked to a 6-mo high, up 4.0% over 30 days, while LME copper fell 13.1% over the same window to the 75th percentile, two exchanges moving opposite directions. Managed money sits at the 92nd percentile of its 20-yr record yet trimmed 3.6% on the week, a crowded position cooling at the edges.

On the metals, Tokyo retail gold sits at the 98th percentile of a 37-year record but is down 9.6% over 30 days, a high perch with a soft month, while COMEX registered gold hit a 6-mo low. The data shows a market where extreme levels and the speed beneath them keep disagreeing.

SPR crudeas of Jun 19
331.2 MM bbl
lowest since Jun 1983
-2.7% 1wk-11.5% 30d
falling
2nd pctl of 44-yr record

SPR crude is at 331.2 MM bbl, the lowest reading since June 1983. It fell 2.7% on the week and 11.5% over 30 days, a 44-year low that is still moving lower.

¥23,150/g
98th percentile of 37-yr record
+0.2% 1d-9.6% 30d
steady
98th pctl of 37-yr record

Tokyo retail gold sits at ¥23,150/g, the 98th percentile of a 37-year record. The level is near the top of the range, but it's down 9.6% over the past 30 days.

Cushing crudeas of Jun 19
19.0 MM bbl
lowest since Oct 2014
-5.4% 1wk-26.6% 30d
falling, but easing
11th pctl of 22-yr record

Cushing crude is down to 19.0 MM bbl, the lowest since October 2014. The drawdown is steep: 5.4% on the week and 26.6% over 30 days.

662,802 short tons
6-mo high
+0.3% 1d+4.0% 30d
steady
100th pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX copper stocks rose to 662,802 short tons, a 6-month high, up 0.3% on the day and 4.0% over 30 days. Note this is a short-run high; the series only runs a few months deep.

LME copper stocksas of Jun 26
336,475 mt
-0.8% 1d-13.1% 30d
falling
75th pctl of 18-yr record

LME copper stocks are at 336,475 mt, the 75th percentile of an 18-year record. They slipped 0.8% on the day and 13.1% over 30 days, falling while COMEX copper builds.

412.1 MM bbl
-1.5% 1wk-7.4% 30d
falling, but easing
75th pctl of 44-yr record

US commercial crude sits at 412.1 MM bbl, the 75th percentile of a 44-year record. The level is mid-to-high, but it's down 1.5% on the week and 7.4% over 30 days.

66,547 contracts
92nd percentile of 20-yr record
-3.6% 1wk-10.3% 30d
92nd pctl of 20-yr record

Managed-money net copper is 66,547 contracts, the 92nd percentile of a 20-year record. The bet is crowded, but it eased 3.6% on the week and 10.3% over 30 days.

14.78M oz
6-mo low
-1.0% 1d-6.0% 30d
falling faster
1st pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX registered gold fell to 14.78M oz, a 6-month low, down 1.0% on the day and 6.0% over 30 days. This is a short-run low on a series only a few months deep.

Sources: CME Group COMEX warehouse reports, LME warehouse data, EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, ETF issuer filings, and venue price quotes. Every figure is computed straight from the stored source data; percentiles rank today's level against the series' full record.

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Cite this page

The Vault Report. "Daily Vault Briefing — Jun 27, 2026." https://thevaultreport.com/briefing/2026-06-27 (Accessed July 8, 2026).