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Daily Vault Briefing

Jul 15, 2026

SPR crude sits at its lowest since April 1983 while COMEX gold coverage bleeds 14.3% over the month, two reserves thinning on opposite ends of the energy-metal ledger.

The brief

SPR crude is the standout: 316.5 MM bbl, the 1st percentile of a 44-yr record and the lowest print since April 1983. The daily move is a mild 0.9%, but the 30-day drop of 9.4% is what carries the story. When a strategic reserve sits at a four-decade floor, the level itself is the signal, and the slow daily bleed only compounds it.

The COMEX picture splits by metal. Gold total stocks sit at a 6-mo low at the 2nd percentile and were flat on the day, while gold coverage has fallen 14.3% over 30 days despite a calm 0.3% daily move. Silver runs the other way: deliverable share (29.1%), coverage (18.2%), all pinned at 6-mo highs with coverage up 6.7% in a single session.

That silver-versus-gold divergence is the rhyme worth naming. Silver's coverage and deliverable metrics are climbing fast off short-run records while gold's coverage erodes; the two sides of the same warehouse system are pulling apart. Coverage is simply the cushion of physical against claims, and here one metal is thickening it while the other thins.

Tokyo retail gold rounds it out at ¥23,464/g, the 99th percentile of a 38-yr record even after a 4.3% monthly slide, a reminder that an extreme level and a soft recent move can coexist. On US energy, gasoline stocks at 210.5 MM bbl hold the 36th percentile, ordinary against these outliers. The board shows reserves and coverage ratios stretched to their edges, with the daily tape mostly quiet underneath.

US gasoline stocksas of Jul 10
210.5 MM bbl
lowest since Nov 2025
-0.7% 1wk-2.1% 30d
falling
36th pctl of 37-yr record

US gasoline stocks fell to 210.5 MM bbl, the lowest since November 2025, down 0.7% on the week and 2.1% over 30 days. At the 36th percentile of a 37-yr record, this is the least extreme reading on the board.

SPR crudeas of Jul 10
316.5 MM bbl
lowest since Apr 1983
-0.9% 1wk-9.4% 30d
falling, but easing
1st pctl of 44-yr record

SPR crude sits at 316.5 MM bbl, the lowest since April 1983 and the 1st percentile of a 44-yr record. Down 0.9% on the week and 9.4% over 30 days, the level is the story more than the pace.

¥23,464/g
99th percentile of 38-yr record
+1.6% 1d-4.3% 30d
rising faster
99th pctl of 38-yr record

Tokyo retail gold hit ¥23,464/g, the 99th percentile of a 38-yr record, up 1.6% on the day but down 4.3% over 30 days. An extreme standing level despite a soft month.

681,948 short tons
6-mo high
+1.2% 1d+4.8% 30d
rising faster
100th pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX copper stocks rose to 681,948 short tons, a 6-mo high, up 1.2% on the day and 4.8% over 30 days. A short-run high on a shallow record.

27.12M oz
6-mo low
+0.0% 1d-3.0% 30d
steady
2nd pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX total gold stocks sit at 27.12M oz, a 6-mo low, flat on the day but down 3.0% over 30 days. The daily tape is quiet while the monthly trend points lower.

29.1%
6-mo high
+1.8% 1d+9.1% 30d
100th pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX silver deliverable share reached 29.1%, a 6-mo high, up 1.8% on the day and 9.1% over 30 days. A larger slice of registered silver is now delivery-ready.

18.2%
6-mo high
+6.7% 1d+10.6% 30d
100th pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX silver coverage climbed to 18.2%, a 6-mo high, up 6.7% in a single session and 10.6% over 30 days. Coverage measures the physical cushion against outstanding claims, and here it is thickening fast.

39.7%
-0.3% 1d-14.3% 30d
16th pctl of 6-mo record

COMEX gold coverage sits at 39.7%, the 16th percentile of its 6-mo record, down 0.3% on the day but 14.3% over 30 days. A calm daily move on top of a sharp monthly erosion.

Sources: CME Group COMEX warehouse reports, LME warehouse data, EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, ETF issuer filings, and venue price quotes. Every figure is computed straight from the stored source data; percentiles rank today's level against the series' full record.

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Cite this page

The Vault Report. "Daily Vault Briefing — Jul 15, 2026." https://thevaultreport.com/briefing/2026-07-15 (Accessed July 15, 2026).