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Daily Vault Briefing ·Aug 27, 2026

The board splits clean today: physical reserves draining at the bottom of their ranges while price and one copper pile sit pinned at the top.

8 signals · 1 series crossed a threshold today

The brief

SPR crude sits at 289.7 MM bbl, the lowest since Nov 1982, down 7.0% over 30 days and parked in the 1st percentile of a 44-year record. That is a reserve that keeps shrinking, not a level holding steady.

The platinum shelf rhymes with it. COMEX registered platinum hit 191K oz, an 8-month low in the 1st percentile, and coverage fell to 6.3%, itself an 8-month low down 13.9% over 30 days. Two thin-history series both pinned at the floor.

Then the divergence worth reading: LME lead sits at the 99th percentile of a 19-year record, yet the 30-day move is down 8.3%. An extreme level draining fast is a different signal than an extreme level sitting quiet, and the gap between position and speed is the story. Tokyo retail gold shows the mirror image, 99th percentile of a 38-year record and up 10.4% over 30 days, so price and physical reserves are pulling in opposite directions.

COMEX copper stands alone at the top, 747,039 short tons, an 8-month high in the 100th percentile, while gold stocks and US gasoline sit low in their ranges. The data reads as full copper, drained reserves, and a gold price at the ceiling.

US gasoline stocksas of Aug 21
206.8 MM bbl
lowest since Nov 2025
-1.2% 1wk-2.1% 30d
falling faster
26th pctl of 37-yr record

US gasoline stocks fell to 206.8 MM bbl, the lowest since Nov 2025, down 1.2% on the week and 2.1% over 30 days. That puts inventory in the 26th percentile of a 37-year record.

26.90M oz
8-mo low
+0.3% 1d-0.5% 30d
steady
10th pctl of 8-mo record

COMEX total gold stocks sit at 26.90M oz, an 8-month low in the 10th percentile. Up 0.3% on the day but down 0.5% over 30 days, so the daily tick does not undo the slow bleed.

LME lead stocksas of Aug 26
410,600 mt
99th percentile of 19-yr record
-0.4% 1d-8.3% 30d
steady
99th pctl of 19-yr record

LME lead stocks are at 410,600 mt, still the 99th percentile of a 19-year record. But the level is draining, down 0.4% on the day and 8.3% over 30 days, so a near-record pile is falling fast.

191K oz
8-mo low
-0.9% 1d-3.6% 30d
falling faster
1st pctl of 8-mo record

COMEX registered platinum, the metal actually pledged for delivery, dropped to 191K oz, an 8-month low in the 1st percentile. Down 0.9% on the day and 3.6% over 30 days.

¥26,198/g
99th percentile of 38-yr record
-0.5% 1d+10.4% 30d
falling
99th pctl of 38-yr record

Tokyo retail gold hit ¥26,198/g, the 99th percentile of a 38-year record and up 10.4% over 30 days despite a 0.5% dip on the day. Price sits at the ceiling while physical reserves elsewhere sit at the floor.

SPR crudeas of Aug 21
289.7 MM bbl
lowest since Nov 1982
-1.3% 1wk-7.0% 30d
falling, but easing
1st pctl of 44-yr record

The SPR fell to 289.7 MM bbl, the lowest since Nov 1982 and the 1st percentile of a 44-year record. Down 1.3% on the week and 7.0% over 30 days, a reserve that keeps thinning.

747,039 short tons
8-mo high
+0.2% 1d+5.6% 30d
steady
100th pctl of 8-mo record

COMEX copper stocks reached 747,039 short tons, an 8-month high in the 100th percentile, up 0.2% on the day and 5.6% over 30 days. This pile is filling while others drain.

6.3%
8-mo low
-0.9% 1d-13.9% 30d
1st pctl of 8-mo record

COMEX platinum coverage, registered metal against open claims, fell to 6.3%, an 8-month low in the 1st percentile. Down 0.9% on the day and 13.9% over 30 days, a thin cushion getting thinner.

Sources and method

Sources: CME Group COMEX warehouse reports, LME warehouse data, EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, ETF issuer filings, and venue price quotes. Every figure is computed straight from the stored source data; percentiles rank today's level against the series' full record.

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Cite this page

The Vault Report. "Daily Vault Briefing — Aug 27, 2026." https://thevaultreport.com/briefing/2026-08-27 (Accessed August 31, 2026).